Cyclone Arnab: Role of El Niño in Its Path and Intensity

29 Oct 2026

Context: The first cyclone of 2026 in the North Indian Ocean basin (Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea), it originated as a low-pressure system over the southeast Bay of Bengal on October 23 and intensified into a cyclone by October 26.Landfall: It crosse...

‘Godzilla’ El Niño: Implications for India and the World

27 Oct 2026

What Is El Niño?Definition: El Niño is the abnormal warming of surface waters in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean, which alters atmospheric circulation and influences weather patterns worldwide.ENSO: El Niño is the warm phase of the E...

Northeast Monsoon: Unpredictability and Flood Preparedness

26 Oct 2026

Context: The Northeast Monsoon (October–December) is crucial for southern India, particularly Tamil Nadu and adjoining regions, amid a deficient southwest monsoon and concerns over agricultural output and food inflation. Northeast Monsoon: Key F...

El Niño 2026: WMO Warns of Peak in December

09 Oct 2026

Context: World Meteorological Organization (WMO) warning: The ongoing El Niño is expected to peak in December 2026, persist through February 2027 and potentially rank among the strongest events since 1950.Global impact: Above-average temperatures are...

El Niño and the Need for Ecosystem-Wide Climate Monitoring

03 Oct 2026

Context: India has improved its ability to forecast atmospheric disturbances and extreme weather events, with the India Meteorological Department (IMD) issuing alerts for events such as heavy rainfall and heat waves.However, a strengthening El Niño a...

Monsoon Forecasting: IMD’s Challenges in a Changing Climate

02 Oct 2026

Context: The India Meteorological Department (IMD) issues two pre-monsoon forecasts, generally in April and May, covering the expected performance of the southwest monsoon.In the year discussed, both forecasts anticipated a dry monsoon, largely influ...

Uttar Pradesh Rain: Interaction of Two Weather Systems

29 Sep 2026

Context: Uttar Pradesh experienced an intense three-day wet spell, causing flood-like conditions across several districts.The State received 66.5 mm rainfall against the normal 7.6 mm during the period; 56 of 75 districts recorded excess rainfall.At...

Super El Niño and India: Heat-Related Mortality [Prelims Bits]

24 Sep 2026

Context: A Super El Niño in 2026 is associated with unusually high temperatures and potential heat-related mortality globally, including India.El Niño: Periodic warming of central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean waters, altering global atmospheric...